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Tag: economy

Raising Rates? What Will Happen?

Raising Rates? What Will Happen?

​What will happen after the Federal Reserve begins to raise rates? If the Fed’s efforts to raise interest rates are successful, what will happen next? It all depends on whom you ask:Dr. David P. Kelly, CFA, Managing Director Chief Global Strategist, JPMorgan: “Looking back at prior Fed rate hikes suggests that at first, investors have a tough time stomaching the idea of higher yields. However, as it becomes increasingly apparent that the Fed is hiking rates for all of the right…

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Norming Behavior

Norming Behavior

Ip! Ip! OORAY! Greg Ip, Chief Economics Commentator at The Wall Street Journal, was blogging about business cycles. He wrote, “After a perplexing start to the year, the economy is starting to make sense…[Recently released data] has begun to help solve three puzzles that have hung over the U.S. and global economies in the last year.” The three puzzles were: 1. There was no surge in consumer spending in the United States. Despite a mammoth drop in oil prices, retail…

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What is our Fiscal Space?

What is our Fiscal Space?

When a government has a lot of debt, is it better to implement an austerity plan and pay the debt down? Or, take advantage of low interest rates and invest in the country? Since the financial crisis, countries around the world have racked up a lot of debt through stimulus programs, financial bailouts, and other monetary and fiscal rescue efforts. When Should Public Debt Be Reduced?, a new paper published by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), reported advanced economies currently…

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The pendulum swings back

The pendulum swings back

​ A manufacturing renaissance in america… really? In the 1950s, manufacturing accounted for 30 percent of America’s gross domestic product (GDP), which is the value of all goods and services produced in the United States. Today, it comprises about 12 percent of GDP. That’s a big change and it was accompanied by a big shift in employment. In its heyday, manufacturing companies employed about 20 million people in America. Today, that number has fallen to about 12 million. Continue Reading

US Companies are fabulously profitable……

US Companies are fabulously profitable……

​ So, you’ve heard U.S. companies are fabulously profitable and sitting on record piles of cash. It’s true. According to Moody’s Investors Service, non-financial U.S. companies had hoards of cash at the end of 2013 – about $1.64 trillion. That’s about 12 percent more than the previous year’s record-setting $1.46 trillion. Technology, healthcare/ pharmaceutical, consumer product, and energy companies held the most cash. Continue Reading

THERE’S A NEW INDEX IN TOWN…

THERE’S A NEW INDEX IN TOWN…

​ About five years ago, the World Economic Forum’s Global Agenda Council proposed a new index be developed, one that would “increase the impact that social entrepreneurs, business leaders, and policy makers can have in the world.” The general idea was the new index would measure social progress and spur competition between nations to improve the environment for social innovation in much the way the Global Competitiveness Index assesses the drivers of economic productivity and prosperity and identifies nations that…

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Is it time to be hopeful about global economic growth?

Is it time to be hopeful about global economic growth?

Certified Financial Analysts (CFAs) are more optimistic and confident that both local and global economies may grow this year, according to the 2014 Global Market Sentiment Survey (pg 5). Sixty-three percent of CFA Institute members think the world economy may expand in 2014. That’s a big change from 2013 when only 40 percent were optimistic about global growth prospects (pg 8). Overall, the survey found CFAs think stock markets in the United States, China, Japan, and Germany may offer the…

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What does the Future Hold?

What does the Future Hold?

If you’re wondering about reality television, National Public Radio says it may be virtual reality goggles that let viewers feel as though they are part of a show or let them interact with shows. If you’re asking about astronomy, it could be finding a planet that’s ten times larger than earth orbiting our sun. Of course, if you’re curious about global economic growth, it’s almost as exciting – experts indicate we can expect relatively steady growth.

Like a First Time Marathoner

Like a First Time Marathoner

Some worry the U.S. stock market, like a first time marathoner, a few miles from the finish, may be getting a little wobbly. There is no denying the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index has had a good run. It has gained about 172 percent since its low following the financial crisis, and its earnings have grown by 121 percent since 2008, according to Barron’s. Of course, that growth has been supported by extraordinary measures including very low interest rates and…

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